m?MUSK BE KIDDING

YOU SAID WHEN?

Keep the goalposts
where we can see them.

Announced targets. Documented outcomes. Early arrivals count, too.

Original target missed

The Roadster clock: a reveal is not a delivery

Stated target
Deliveries in 2020
Documented outcome
A new reveal was reported for October 15, 2026; customer deliveries are a separate milestone.

The next-generation Tesla Roadster’s original 2020 delivery target, the later reveal, and the evidence needed to close the loop.

Read the evidence →
First deliveries ahead of launch target

Model Y: the deadline that moved forward

Stated target
Launch by fall 2020
Documented outcome
Tesla reported deliveries beginning in Q1 2020.

Tesla’s filings put Model Y’s launch target in fall 2020 and its first deliveries in the first quarter. The tracker counts early outcomes too.

Read the evidence →

What gets a verdict?

A dated target and evidence about the corresponding milestone. Demonstrations, first deliveries and sustained production are separate outcomes. A passed deadline alone does not prove completion, cancellation or dishonesty.

These entries are reviewed manually. The hourly news feed does not automatically change their verdicts.

Read the methodology →